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Tunisia’s 100MW Deal: A Dry Run for the EU-Africa Power Bridge

Large scale solar farm installation in a desert environment with rows of PV panels.
Sidi Bouzid represents a strategic pivot toward Tunisian solar exports to the European market.
The project aims to enhance energy security, reduce CO₂ emissions, and attract private investment. It aligns with Tunisia's goal of generating 35% of electricity from renewables by 2030.

Don’t let the relatively modest 100 MW headline fool you. For a country that has historically struggled to move past the 3% renewable mark, this €61.3 million injection from the EBRD and EIB into Sidi Bouzid isn't just about local energy security—it’s a stress test for the ELMED interconnector. If you’re a developer in Southern Europe, specifically Italy, you need to stop viewing North Africa as a separate market and start seeing it as a primary generation zone for the EU grid.

The Risk Premium Reality Check

Look at the math: €61.3 million for 100 MW comes out to roughly €613/kWp. In the cutthroat utility-scale markets of Spain or Portugal, we’re seeing EPC costs significantly lower, but the Tunisian premium covers more than just modules and mounting. It covers the political risk and the infrastructure upgrades needed for a grid that isn't yet ready for high-penetration solar. For European EPCs like Voltalia or Scatec, these projects are high-margin frontiers compared to the razor-thin spreads currently available in Germany or the Netherlands.

Follow the Copper

The real play here is the 600 MW subsea cable connecting Tunisia to Sicily. This 100 MW plant is a foundational brick in what will eventually be a massive export corridor. While EU installers are currently fighting over 50 kW C&I rooftops, the big money is quietly positioning for the day Tunisia becomes a net exporter of green electrons to the European mainland. We’ve seen this pattern before in the Nordics with hydro; North Africa is simply the solar version of that play.

  • Margin Analysis: North African projects offer a buffer against the pricing wars of the European mainland.
  • Supply Chain: Watch for Tier 1 Chinese manufacturers (Jinko, LONGi) using these projects to bypass EU trade sensitivities by supplying via African hubs.
  • Regulatory Signal: The 35% by 2030 target is the anchor. Any developer who can navigate Tunisian land rights now will own the market when the ELMED cable goes live.
Why it matters: The ELMED interconnector will soon link Tunisia to the EU grid, making North African solar a direct competitor to Southern European generation.
📰 Read original article at SolarQuarter →